Always a Wasp

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21
Wasps Rugby Discussion / Re: Injury updates ahead of crucial Harlequins clash
« Last post by backdoc on September 24, 2020, 10:52:59 PM »
Or play him from the bench and use Gaskell and Rowlands.
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Wasps Rugby Discussion / Re: Injury updates ahead of crucial Harlequins clash
« Last post by NellyWellyWaspy on September 24, 2020, 09:06:09 PM »
If I had a choice of Launch for Quins, but with some doubts, who might get injured as a result, or keep him for the Chiefs, I would let him rest a bit more.
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Wasps Rugby Discussion / Re: The endless thread
« Last post by WonkyWasp on September 24, 2020, 07:29:56 PM »
Trouble
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Wasps Rugby Discussion / Re: Injury updates ahead of crucial Harlequins clash
« Last post by DGP Wasp on September 24, 2020, 05:13:18 PM »
Thought Launch had just gone off as a precaution against Bris, but sounds a bit more serious.  Still a bit of a doubt for Quins at this stage.  Hopefully OK.
Good to hear TT is back and in the frame.  Some good depth at hooker now after drafting TJ in a few weeks back when that particular cupboard was looking bare.
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Wasps Rugby Discussion / Re: Injury updates ahead of crucial Harlequins clash
« Last post by HDAWG on September 24, 2020, 04:53:08 PM »
Yeah though Sione's injury sounded familiar... Hope he's ok.

No mention of ZZ, assuming he's fit?

Also hoping Sirker gets some opportunities soon, even if it is the end of the season.
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Wasps Rugby Discussion / Re: Injury updates ahead of crucial Harlequins clash
« Last post by Vespula Vulgaris on September 24, 2020, 03:25:36 PM »
Vailanu is a worry. Obviously we have no details as to the severity of his, but a syndesmosis injury is what ended Sam Jones's career.
27
First massive red flag for me is this bit: The WHO originally predicted a pandemic that would claim 3.4% victims, in other words millions of deaths, and a highly contagious virus for which no treatment or vaccine was available.

I'm 95% sure that the WHO didn't predict that, they stated that it was the case fatality rate, which is very different from the infection fatality rate. Even early on (imperial paper from way back when) they were looking at ifr of a little below 1% (0.65% was used by Imperial if I recall correctly, read it a few times but some time ago). That 3.4% figure is pushed a lot in strawman arguments I've seen.

Next up they compare it to Flu. You can see in any country where the disease has taken hold, that this has by far and away exceeded any flu season.

Professor Neil Ferguson was interviewed on The Life Scientific this week, it's well worth a listen back if you are interested in the stats.  He said that the original estimage of 0.6-0.7% fatality was based on Wuhan, and as the UK has a significantly older population he expecetd it to be closer to 0.9% here. which is roughly 10x a really bad flu year. He also stands by his estimate of 500,000 deaths with no lockdown, and that we are definitely heading into a second wave.

It's also worth pointing out to those who don't think this is as serious as the first time round that while the majority of current infections are people from lower age brackets, with the R Number nearing 2 in places then it is not going to stay that way.  Also that there is roughly a 3-4 week delay between infection and hospitalisation, and then anouther 2-3 weeks before death occurs if it does.  We are between 3-4 weeks into the second wave of infections, so hopsitalisation will be starting to increase, and death rates swill likely follow in another 2-3 weeks.
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Wasps Rugby Discussion / Injury updates ahead of crucial Harlequins clash
« Last post by Rossm on September 24, 2020, 03:20:39 PM »
From Bobby Bridge and Adam Dickinson:

https://www.coventrytelegraph.net/sport/rugby/wasps-rugby-news-joe-launchbury-18990573

BB has tweeted that the 23-man squad will be announced on Sunday at 12pm.



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Wasps Rugby Discussion / Re: Rugby clubs ‘will collapse if no bailout’
« Last post by Bloke in North Dorset on September 24, 2020, 03:15:58 PM »
Without wanting to get in to a fight about the Government's approach, I do enough of that on political forums and blogs, has anyone seen any evidence from from France's experiment on allowing crowds at rugby matches? By now they ought to know if there has been any spreading events or not, if not it seems a bit premature to scrap it for rugby.

The same could be said for the experiment in lower league football.
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Wasps Rugby Discussion / Re: The endless thread
« Last post by Rossm on September 24, 2020, 01:51:47 PM »
Teens
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