Always a Wasp

Author Topic: Who next?  (Read 2401 times)

Shugs

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Who next?
« on: December 21, 2022, 07:48:04 PM »
Telegraph just released an exclusive that more clubs face financial disaster. Behind a paywall so can’t tell if it’s a rehashing of the “clubs owe lots of money” story or whether there’s something more specific in it. The Telegraph normally get it right and before most others to be fair to them.

Neils

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Re: Who next?
« Reply #1 on: December 21, 2022, 07:57:28 PM »

Exclusive: Premiership clubs ‘heading for disaster’ having amassed £300m in net debt

A joint investigation between Telegraph Sport and a rugby finance expert can reveal a number of clubs are financially under threat
By Ben Coles, Rugby Reporter 21 December 2022 • 7:00pm

Gallagher Premiership clubs are at risk of “heading for disaster”, having collectively amassed £300 million in net debt over the past six years, Telegraph Sport can disclose.

The figure, which excludes investment in the competition from CVC Capital Partners in 2018, highlights the fact that after Worcester Warriors and Wasps were placed into administration, other clubs are under threat.

An investigation shared by Mike Ryan, a private equities director who has produced reports on the finances of Rugby Australia and New Zealand Rugby, shows that:

    CVC, which bought a minority shareholding of 27 per cent of the Premiership for £200 million four years ago, took out a £27.5 million dividend across the previous two financial years from the league’s holding company, Premier Rugby Limited, with PRL’s net debt now £29 million, having been nil before the takeover
    London Irish are considered “high risk” due to low turnover of, at best, £10 million, while Harlequins are “concerning” due to their high borrowing of £48 million in the 2021 financial year
    Wasps borrowed £62 million before the end of the 2021 financial year, months before the club were placed into administration
    Worcester Warriors wrote off £30 million of borrowings prior to going into administration

Sharing detailed analysis of both the clubs’ and PRL’s financial figures dating back to the start of the financial year in 2016, Ryan believes that the structure of finances and player payments must be addressed as a priority for the league’s long-term financial health.

“The club structure has historically been on an unsustainable footing. It has never made a profit. The combined losses for the clubs over the last six years, excluding the payment from CVC, has been £300 million,” Ryan explained.

“At the moment, this is heading for disaster. I would like to see the fiscal-year 2022 numbers to be more comfortable with the call, but I would be surprised if they were any better than FY19 [financial year 2019]. The overall competition is still losing money.

“It is professional on the field and semi-professional at best off the field. That is the biggest problem that rugby is facing globally, in my view.”

Addressing how to fix the Premiership’s loss-making model, with clubs in the red for earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation, Ryan believes the Premiership must hire an independent commissioner and follow the kind of centralised model used in other sports, including American football’s NFL. That would lead to centralised contracts in the league that would ensure stricter player payments as well as “consistent accounting so at any point in time you can look at the health of the entire PRL”.

The impact of CVC’s investment has also been raised as a concern, given that PRL now holds net debt where previously there was none and has incurred £72 million of net losses since CVC’s investment, having previously broken even.
Why Premiership rugby clubs are in a financial mess

While it has been obvious to anyone this season with the demise of Wasps and Worcester Warriors that rugby's finances are under immense strain, the scale of the challenge which all Gallagher Premiership clubs are facing has not always been clear.

The nine-figure amount of net debt across the Premiership without CVC's investment, £300 million, can be accounted for partly down to government loans, with £100 million of the debt owed to the Government as part of the Winter Survival package which helped Premiership clubs emerge the other side of the pandemic.

A substantial majority of the remaining debt is made up of investor debt at individual clubs, money owed to a majority shareholder which has amassed over a number of years. Debt which, in reality, it is hard to see ever being repaid. The question with those clubs therefore becomes what happens if a major investor decides they no longer want to pump millions into keeping a club afloat.

Mike Ryan, a private equities director who has previously produces reports on the finances of Rugby Australia and New Zealand Rugby, believes that the time has come to reassess the entire financial model of the league, adding that a structure similar to the NFL where the league negotiates national merchandise, licensing, and TV contracts before dividing shares equally among its teams, would be more successful with teams united and drawing from a central pot.

“The club structure has historically been on an unsustainable footing. It has never made a profit,” Ryan notes. “If you look at the successful codes, whether it’s the NFL or otherwise, they almost take a dictatorial approach. Not everyone is comfortable with it, but it makes the clubs and code successful to have a centralised approach to it, because it cannot work otherwise.

“I would be very strict on player payments, but also on the rigour and integrity of how the clubs are run. I’d have centralised contracts for all players. I’d move to centralised funding for broadcasting and sponsorship, and consistent accounting so at any point in time you can look at the health of the entire PRL.”

Certain clubs, it should be stressed, continue to perform well financially in trying circumstances. Exeter are one, even with the recent construction of a new stand. Gloucester have posted a small profit over the past two years and hope to do so again. Northampton in the last financial year recorded their highest-ever revenue.

But while CVC's investment was essential four years ago, the rub is that teams now still have to pay 100 per cent of their cost base while collectively missing out on 27 per cent of revenue which goes to CVC, at a time when every pound is desperately needed. Withdrawing a £27 million dividend is CVC's right given their substantial £200 million input, and they have been described as a very supportive and engaged partner. But how the clubs would love to now hold on to that revenue. “All of them fell into a false sense of security when they received the CVC payment,” believes Ryan.

Wasps and Worcester can be regarded as unique cases given their respective previous ownerships, but their collapses are still harrowing. Wasps borrowed a staggering £62 million in the last financial year.

Ryan adds: “It’s an unsustainable model. You cannot run a business which is turning over £20 million, £30 million and running up debts of twice that amount. A bank shouldn’t allow them to borrow against that.

“It was a hotel, events coordinator, entertainment business and stadium which tacked on a rugby club. Multiple businesses being operated by people who were essentially rugby players, when you look at the boards, highly inexperienced and with a single individual with Derek Richardson providing funding. Not the sort of board you need to be running multiple businesses, you need the right skill-sets. 

“It’s got nothing to do with the players, it is mismanagement of the businesses. Auditors should have highlighted concerns earlier than they did. There was a negative profit pre-tax of £23 million between 2016 and 2018.”

Worcester's issue feels more common outside of clubs with consistent supporter bases – the amount of money borrowed could never be matched by the club's turnover.

“Worcester never made a dime,” notes Ryan. “The club only turned over £12 million. They have property, but look at the borrowings. They wrote off £30 million of borrowings and converted a portion of it to equity. The business was never going to survive with that debt. It doesn’t matter how much debt you forgive, at an operational level you’re not able to break even before paying your interest.”

Is rugby in England prepared for a radical rethink about its finances at the top of the game? Or will Worcester and Wasps be followed by others? London Irish's low turnover is a concern but the overall net debt figure for the entire Premiership deserves to be recognised and mulled over by supporters as well as those at board level.

All of the figures listed in this article have been compiled from the financial results made publicly available on Companies House. Premiership Rugby and all of the 11 Gallagher Premiership clubs have been contacted for comment. Premiership Rugby, Bath, Bristol, Harlequins, Leicester, London Irish, Newcastle, Sale and Saracens declined to comment.

The net losses of £72 million in Premier Rugby Limited are related to accounting for CVC's purchase over the years, Telegraph Sport understands, with the league's revenue for the financial year ending in June 2021 being £62 million. The net debt of £29 million in PRL is also understood to be a loan facility used by Premiership Rugby to support club distributions in a normal course of business.
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Neils

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Re: Who next?
« Reply #2 on: December 21, 2022, 07:58:11 PM »
No rehash. The article actually has charts and tables imbedded.
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Neils

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Re: Who next?
« Reply #3 on: December 21, 2022, 08:04:28 PM »

Club-by-club - what financial shape is your side in?

By Ben Coles
Bath

Not a lot of serious red flags, albeit the level of debt has increased to an unsustainable level, which is mostly shareholder loans. The problem with Bath is that its operating structure will require continual propping up by Bruce Craig.
Bristol

Bristol are OK as along as Steve Lansdown keeps on spending. He has a big cheque book but is happy to fund a business that has lost £30m over the past five years at the EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortisation) line. That is a passion.
Exeter

Exeter have been much better at running its business than more or less all of the clubs. They have taken on more borrowings in Financial Year 21, but they have managed their business with a lot more vigilance.
Gloucester

Gloucester would be on the fringe, but are not over-invested in hard assets, around £8.6m. They have a little bit of debt, bearing in mind some of that is the Covid loans from the Government, and were sensible to take that on.
Harlequins

One club that is concerning is Harlequins. They borrowed £48m in FY21, maybe through £50m on the back of FY22. If you look at operating profit per employee, they are paying £60,000 per employee and going backwards. It's the structure of the business – big property investments, borrowings.
Leicester Tigers

Their turnover averages £19-20m and they still incur losses, even though they more or less break even. Their latest net debt to revenue for FY21, with the debt being 0.8x their revenue, was their worst in the past six years but one of the league's best returns.
London Irish

London Irish are interesting. They have never made a profit, have £30m worth of borrowings. It’s one club that’s potentially at high risk because of very low turnovers, at best in a good season of £10m.
Newcastle Falcons

Another case of an unsustainable operating model, although in recent years have improved significantly. Club is also being propped up by a major shareholder increasing the loan over time. Too much debt for too little revenue.
Northampton Saints

Probably managing better than most. Relatively low debt levels. Also seemed to manage the impact of Covid better than other clubs, reducing costs and managing to minimise the operational loss.
Sale Sharks

Sale just run a club, they do not have any property. Their only problem is their operating costs are pretty chunky, which is why they could potentially be under pressure. They had the reprieve with the CVC payout, but ultimately it’s an unsustainable model.
Saracens

Continued to incur significant losses of £30m over the last six years (up to FY21). Debt waived of £42m in FY18, resulting in nil debt for that year. However by the end of FY21 the net debt had leaped back to around £25m. While costs have declined, revenue was halved in FY21.
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NellyWellyWaspy

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Re: Who next?
« Reply #4 on: December 21, 2022, 08:21:31 PM »
Nothing that none of us hasn't said.

You may recall I was scathing in my skepticism of the CVC investment.

And, you will recall that I said Tigers Falcons and Irish were in talks with Insolvency Practitioners. The advice that all3 received was the same as that Wasps and Worcester received. Not a question of IF, but WHEN.

All 3 have gone off the cliff already, and are currently falling. The later they leave it, the less chance they have of rising from the ashes. As I said in a post earlier about Wasps V2, we will be lucky to get things sorted for next season. But, we have had 2 months more than any club that now goes under.

But, it seems that Quins and Sale are on sticky ground too. The PRL desperately don't want more clubs to fold, so we may see a month or so pass as this juggernaut slowly heads towards the frothing sea at the bottom of the cliff.

Are we really saying we might be down to 6, 7 or only 8 clubs? Yes. Maybe, in the end, down to four, before central contracts and lower wages come in. And the sugar daddies all desperate that it is THEIR clubs that survive to that point.

Shugs

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Re: Who next?
« Reply #5 on: December 21, 2022, 08:29:53 PM »
Thanks for posting Neils - interesting and alarming in equal measure. Agree with what you say NWW although a couple of surprising bits in there re Quins and Sarries. Sugar daddies rule. And PRL not in great shape themselves.

Bloke in North Dorset

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Re: Who next?
« Reply #6 on: December 21, 2022, 08:46:23 PM »
Quins was a bit from left field, I’d always thought of them as a solid club, to the extent that I ever gave it much thought. 

The EAs model has to be unsustainable looking at those numbers, even with a sugar daddy.

I wonder if there’s a few clubs thinking that perhaps they should have been quick and vocal in supporting our claim to keep the P share and even Prem place?

Neils

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Re: Who next?
« Reply #7 on: December 21, 2022, 08:48:38 PM »
Quins was a bit from left field, I’d always thought of them as a solid club, to the extent that I ever gave it much thought. 

The EAs model has to be unsustainable looking at those numbers, even with a sugar daddy.

I wonder if there’s a few clubs thinking that perhaps they should have been quick and vocal in supporting our claim to keep the P share and even Prem place?

On your last point - nope they are just greedy self serving barstewards.
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westwaleswasp

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Re: Who next?
« Reply #8 on: December 22, 2022, 12:01:30 AM »
Thing is, if it does come down to 6 clubs, that won't work. Those rich sugar daddies will push for a Euro league, the Irish will tell them to feck off, the  Welsh will tell them dim chance, boyo (cos we are broke) the French will say 'non'. That will be it. The cancerous Wray (ex Sarries, honestly), et al, will have no one to play with.

andermt

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Re: Who next?
« Reply #9 on: December 22, 2022, 07:21:51 AM »
This still winds me up

Quote
Exeter

Exeter have been much better at running its business than more or less all of the clubs. They have taken on more borrowings in Financial Year 21, but they have managed their business with a lot more vigilance.

Really, all that happens there is Tony Rowe opens his chequebook, it is no different to the business model at bath or Bristol, but the press seem to think the sun shines out their .......

This was their big title sponsor last season
https://westexebusinesspark.co.uk/

There is a company with an interesting background.
It is currently a non-trading company.
Incorporated in Nov 1995 as SWT Finance Ltd
became in Dec 1995 SWT Service Ltd
Then in June 2021 became West Exe Business Park Ltd

It currently has 2 Officers
Tony Rowe - Director
Sharon Rowe - Secretary

Looking at accounts for year end of 2021, as a dormant company, they have £2 in the bank. No assets, so doesn't even look like they own the field, plus no payment for sponsorship to Exeter Rugby. How can a dormant company, with no assets pay a potentially million pound sponsorship deal.
But everything at Exeter is all rosy and above board.......

Sliminator

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Re: Who next?
« Reply #10 on: December 22, 2022, 08:17:14 AM »
This still winds me up

Quote
Exeter

Exeter have been much better at running its business than more or less all of the clubs. They have taken on more borrowings in Financial Year 21, but they have managed their business with a lot more vigilance.

Really, all that happens there is Tony Rowe opens his chequebook, it is no different to the business model at bath or Bristol, but the press seem to think the sun shines out their .......

This was their big title sponsor last season
https://westexebusinesspark.co.uk/

There is a company with an interesting background.
It is currently a non-trading company.
Incorporated in Nov 1995 as SWT Finance Ltd
became in Dec 1995 SWT Service Ltd
Then in June 2021 became West Exe Business Park Ltd

It currently has 2 Officers
Tony Rowe - Director
Sharon Rowe - Secretary

Looking at accounts for year end of 2021, as a dormant company, they have £2 in the bank. No assets, so doesn't even look like they own the field, plus no payment for sponsorship to Exeter Rugby. How can a dormant company, with no assets pay a potentially million pound sponsorship deal.
But everything at Exeter is all rosy and above board.......

+1

Exeter are just as reliant on their sugar daddy as the rest, Northampton and maybe Gloucester are probably the only well run clubs. But their model is impossible to replicate.

Skippy

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Re: Who next?
« Reply #11 on: December 22, 2022, 08:59:35 AM »
Exeter seem to have taken a leaf out of Man City's playbook with shonky sponsorship deals being used to inflate the club's finances and make it look financially viable.

mike909

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Re: Who next?
« Reply #12 on: December 22, 2022, 09:21:57 AM »
Thing is, if it does come down to 6 clubs, that won't work. Those rich sugar daddies will push for a Euro league, the Irish will tell them to feck off, the  Welsh will tell them dim chance, boyo (cos we are broke) the French will say 'non'. That will be it. The cancerous Wray (ex Sarries, honestly), et al, will have no one to play with.
This was my thought too. Unless there is real change - even 6 might be optimistic and still relying upon a benefactor's cheque book.

Neils

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Re: Who next?
« Reply #13 on: December 22, 2022, 09:46:34 AM »
Thing is, if it does come down to 6 clubs, that won't work. Those rich sugar daddies will push for a Euro league, the Irish will tell them to feck off, the  Welsh will tell them dim chance, boyo (cos we are broke) the French will say 'non'. That will be it. The cancerous Wray (ex Sarries, honestly), et al, will have no one to play with.
This was my thought too. Unless there is real change - even 6 might be optimistic and still relying upon a benefactor's cheque book.

Plus by then CVC will be either screaming OR have taken full control!
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Lwasp

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Re: Who next?
« Reply #14 on: December 22, 2022, 09:56:30 AM »
WestExe Business Park was the front of shirt sponsor for Exeter's televised Euro game this weekend. Made me look it up to see if anything had been built yet, not according to their website.

Sponsored by a grass field, hmmmm, great model.