Shugs,
We're comparing us to Northampton in terms of transition from bad to not bad. I'm not picking them because they're table toppers. I could pick Bristol and Gloucester, they're similar situations.
+1
And we could easily point to Newcastle who went from 4th and Euro qual to relegated the next season - which was linked to poor form and injuries.
The key point about Saints position is that they recognised they were in a hole and made a change. It worked out for them. But the point isn't that it worked for Saints, more that we don't appear to have recognised we're in a hole.
This was one report of the matter. Again, not sure if its relevant to us.
https://www.therugbypaper.co.uk/featured-post/29606/the-reasons-behind-jim-mallinders-sacking-at-northampton-saints/Newcastle went down off a similar first run of results last season and our next 3 games offer little respite. We easily could be one win from games 5 to 8, and that assumes we beat Quin's as I'm not optimistic of Bris away or Saints at home on current form.
I personally hope "we just need a couple of wins" and it will be ok. We might have the talent - but no team is too good to go down. It does appear we need a different path, but we don't have the time. It is already a near emergency.
We can look back for clues - 15 of the 23 from the 2017 Final vs Exeter are no longer with us...and 14 of the 23 from the 2018 semi have gone too. (mostly the same players) It might appear our weakness is at least in part self inflicted.
Exeter Game review
Watched the game extended highlights. Exeter didn't seem to have to play that well - and with the wind being a key issue, Exeter were probably happy if they'd been only level at HT and then played a fairly limited game of pressure, with the wind and we were buckling before the SRs went off - though obviously, it got worse after. I wish they had shown more of the card for Brookes as it was difficult to see the issue. We didn't have good discipline at the breakdown, which was reffed pretty well. We easily could have conceded more penalties for hands in the ruck. I know Willis is brilliant at turnovers, but even just in the highlights - he was hands in the ruck too often. Carr looked like superman.
We were in it for 50 or so, but we seemed to have to put an 80min effort into that 50 to keep in the game